{"id":37,"date":"2009-04-24T15:34:50","date_gmt":"2009-04-24T22:34:50","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.swartzcre.com\/observations\/?p=37"},"modified":"2009-04-24T15:34:50","modified_gmt":"2009-04-24T22:34:50","slug":"greed-is-not-good-in-recessions","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.swartzcre.com\/observations\/2009\/04\/greed-is-not-good-in-recessions\/","title":{"rendered":"Greed Is Not Good In Recessions"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>One of the more famous lines from movies that will stay with all of us\u00a0is when\u00a0Michael Douglas\u00a0says in\u00a0the movie &#8220;Wall Street&#8221;\u00a0, &#8220;Greed is Good&#8221;.\u00a0 In that movie and in that time frame maybe greed was good, at least for Douglas&#8217; character.\u00a0 He certainly seemed to live the good life.<\/p>\n<p>However, for most of us ordinary investors, greed is not so good, especially in recessionary times.\u00a0 I am specifically speaking about real estate investing although I believe that my thoughts may also be applied to the stock market.<\/p>\n<p>Greed tends to make us think that we ought to be jumping into the fray and picking up investment property on the cheap.\u00a0 That is not a bad idea but the implementation of it can have drastic results if not thought out very well.\u00a0 Most smaller investors are not that tuned in to the real estate market, just as they are not tuned into the stock market.<\/p>\n<p>This\u00a0issue came to light when I read a promotion for people to take equity out of their homes in California\u00a0by refinancing, and buying small properties\u00a0such as\u00a02 to 4 units apartments in other states.\u00a0 This concept is not new and can be very dangerous to the average investor.\u00a0 Of course this all presupposes that someone in California still has equity in their home.<\/p>\n<p>The core problem is that the average small investor typically relates the market in most other states to that of Orange County.\u00a0 We happen to live in one of the wealthiest counties with one of the best economies in the United States. At least it&#8217;s that way in normal time.\u00a0 We tend to go into recessions last and come out first because we are such a desirable place to live and invest.<\/p>\n<p>Most other states do not have the diverse population\u00a0 or economy that we have and do not have the population density we have.\u00a0 They often rely on one or 2 major industries and if those industries\u00a0have problems everyone in the area suffers.\u00a0 Just look at Detroit.\u00a0 In fact many of these states do not rebound for years after a recession has ended.\u00a0 The population density can easily shift and apartments may have vacancies for years.<\/p>\n<p>Moreover, the investor becomes dependent upon a local broker who is very motivated to make a sale.\u00a0 They may be sincere but they cannot relate to an Orange County economy or weather and what they consider normal may be far from we out here call normal.\u00a0 In fact properties need to be built to withstand very severe weather conditions, something we know nothing about in Orange County. They also must be maintained constantly to withstand the various weather conditions.<\/p>\n<p>When problems occur with a property out of state the investor will suddenly find out that the property manager for a small building can only be of limited help without lots more money to be sent to them. If the investor owned a property locally they would drive over to it and see what the problem is,\u00a0make an informed decision and tell the manager how they would like the problem handled. When they\u00a0need to catch an airplane and kill at lease one day going back and forth, they have a problem.\u00a0An owner&#8217;s decison may not be the same as the property manger&#8217;s\u00a0 but when you are a long distance away one has no way of knowing. The investor may have no idea if the property is being properly managed at all.<\/p>\n<p>One also realizes the problems with out of state investing when vacancies arise.\u00a0 The local property manger or broker will typically put out a sign and hope for the best. In Orange County that may be all that is needed. But in another state with a poor economy one may need to do a whole host of marketing techniques in order to get a property rented.\u00a0 The out of area owner can only sit and mange their anxiety while the world seems to spin out of control and their cash flow dwindles to nothing.<\/p>\n<p>I won&#8217;t even mention the problems with selling a property for an out of state owner.\u00a0 That is for another session.\u00a0 Suffice it to say that one must harness\u00a0their desires to be the next great bottom fisher that we will all read about in future sucesss magazines.\u00a0 So keep that greed in check and always always keep the basic investment criteria in mind.\u00a0 Not the least of which is that in real estate, you need to be relatively close to your property unless you are doing very large deals or are a pro.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>One of the more famous lines from movies that will stay with all of us\u00a0is when\u00a0Michael Douglas\u00a0says in\u00a0the movie &#8220;Wall Street&#8221;\u00a0, &#8220;Greed is Good&#8221;.\u00a0 In that movie and in that time frame maybe greed was good, at least for Douglas&#8217; character.\u00a0 He certainly seemed to live the good life. However, for most of us ordinary [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[17,126,127,128,141,149],"class_list":["post-37","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized","tag-2-to-4-apartments","tag-orange-county-real-estate","tag-ordinary-investors","tag-out-of-state-investing","tag-real-estate-investing","tag-recessionary-times"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.swartzcre.com\/observations\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/37","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.swartzcre.com\/observations\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.swartzcre.com\/observations\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.swartzcre.com\/observations\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/3"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.swartzcre.com\/observations\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=37"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.swartzcre.com\/observations\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/37\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.swartzcre.com\/observations\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=37"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.swartzcre.com\/observations\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=37"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.swartzcre.com\/observations\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=37"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}